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Tuesday, March 7, 2023
Seto: 2022 First-Time Bar Move Efficiency Of California Regulation Colleges, Controlling For Median LSATs
TaxProf Weblog op-ed: First-Time Bar Move Efficiency of California Regulation Colleges, Controlling For Median LSATs, by :
In a current TaxProf Weblog put up, Paul Caron ranked all regulation colleges by their 2022 first-time bar passage charges, primarily based on ABA knowledge.
Primarily based on that very same 2022 knowledge, I right here study the extent to which California regulation colleges over- or under-performed in first-time bar passage after controlling for the median LSATs of their college students. In any case, we might anticipate Stanford college students to do effectively on the bar whatever the preparation they obtain at Stanford. And we’d anticipate college students at Southwestern to do worse than Stanford college students on the bar, once more whatever the high quality of the training they obtain at Southwestern. It is because we consider LSATs to be predictive of one thing—unsure of what—however of one thing.
What we actually must be eager about will not be bar move charges – that are largely a operate of the innate tutorial talents of faculties’ incoming college students – however quite the extent to which their college students over- or under-perform on the bar examination after controlling for incoming LSATs. In different phrases, we must be colleges’ worth added.
Listed below are the related uncooked knowledge from 2022. The primary column is median LSATs, the second is distance of the college’s bar passage price above or under the state common. Colleges are listed within the order of median LSATs, excessive to low:
| Regulation College | LSAT Median | +/-From State Ave. |
| Stanford | 173 | +18.55 |
| UCLA | 171 | +19.24 |
| UC Berkeley | 170 | +18.94 |
| USC | 168 | +15.35 |
| UC Irvine | 167 | +11.67 |
| UC Davis | 165 | +9.38 |
| Pepperdine | 164 | +6.66 |
| Loyola LA | 161 | +7.66 |
| San Diego | 161 | +3.84 |
| Chapman | 161 | +2.28 |
| UC San Francisco | 160 | -1.60 |
| Santa Clara | 158 | -7.67 |
| San Francisco | 155 | -14.28 |
| Pacific | 155 | -14.52 |
| Southwestern | 154 | -12.09 |
| Golden Gate | 154 | -27.78 |
| Cal Western | 153 | -18.50 |
| Western State | 151 | -25.44 |
From this knowledge, we will generate a least squares regression line, captured by the equation:
Y = 2.184605 X – 352.55,
the place X is median LSAT and Y is the space by which every faculty’s bar passage price is above or under the California common. Right here’s the identical knowledge on a scatter plot, with the least squares regression line added.
And listed below are how California regulation colleges over- or under-performed in first time bar passage in 2022, listed within the order through which they over- or under-performed:
| Regulation College | Median LSAT | Precise Bar Move | Predicted Bar Move | Worth Added |
| Loyola LA | 161 | +7.66 | -0.83 | +8.49 |
| San Diego | 161 | +3.84 | -0.83 | +4.67 |
| Southwestern | 154 | -12.09 | -16.12 | +4.03 |
| Chapman | 161 | +2.28 | -0.83 | +3.11 |
| UC Davis | 165 | +9.38 | +7.91 | +1.47 |
| UC San Francisco | 160 | -1.6 | -3.01 | +1.41 |
| Pepperdine | 164 | +6.66 | +5.73 | +0.93 |
| USC | 168 | +15.35 | +14.47 | +0.88 |
| UC Berkeley | 170 | +18.94 | +18.84 | +0.10 |
| Cal Western | 153 | -18.5 | -18.30 | -0.20 |
| Santa Clara | 158 | -7.67 | -7.38 | -0.29 |
| San Francisco | 155 | -14.28 | -13.93 | -0.35 |
| Pacific | 155 | -14.52 | -13.93 | -0.59 |
| UC Irvine | 167 | +11.67 | +12.28 | -0.61 |
| UCLA | 171 | +19.24 | +21.02 | -1.78 |
| Western State | 151 | -25.44 | -22.67 | -2.77 |
| Stanford | 173 | +18.55 | +25.39 | -6.84 |
In different phrases, Loyola LA college students handed the California bar at a price 8.49 share factors increased than their incoming median LSATs would have predicted. Conversely, Stanford college students handed the bar at a price 6.84 share factors decrease than their incoming median LSATs would have predicted.
https://taxprof.typepad.com/taxprof_blog/2023/03/seto-2022-first-time-bar-pass-performance-of-california-law-schools-controlling-for-median-lsats.html
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