It does certainly for about 13 million retirees for whom Social Safety is a lifeline.

With the prospect that Congress could fail to lift the debt ceiling and the chance that Social Safety advantages is probably not paid on a well timed foundation, one apparent query is whether or not it issues if folks get their test just a few days, every week, or a few weeks late.  From my studying of the proof, it issues very a lot.

First, hundreds of thousands of older persons are virtually completely depending on Social Safety.  One of the best numbers come from a research by Social Safety researchers, utilizing administrative tax and profit knowledge, that exhibits that, in 2015, 21 % of people acquired 75 % or extra of their household revenue from Social Safety (see Desk 1).  With 48 million folks ages 65 and over in 2015, that will have been 10 million folks.  Since 2015, two issues have modified that will make that quantity bigger.  First, the 65+ inhabitants has grown from 48 million to 60 million, and, with the decline within the share of lower-paid households which have a 401(okay), Social Safety has turn into a extra essential supply of retirement revenue.  So, the variety of folks considerably reliant on Social Safety is about 13 million.

Does it matter if the checks for these 13 million persons are delayed?  They are going to undoubtedly be paid in full finally; the problem is whether or not timing is essential.  Past the truth that these 13 million folks have nearly no different supply of revenue by the top of the month, a physique of analysis means that timing is essential for money strapped low-income households.  A number of research have checked out Social Safety recipients.  The U.S. Social Safety Administration’s present schedule for depositing pension checks in financial institution accounts relies on every retiree’s start date, which determines whether or not the test is deposited on the second, third, or fourth Wednesday of every month.  

One research discovered that individuals who get their Social Safety checks early within the month usually tend to resort to payday loans and different measures than individuals who obtain their checks later within the month.  Individuals who get their checks on the fourth Wednesday will use it to get their largest expense – lease – out of the way in which after which make do for the remainder of the month.  They’d fewer bounced checks, account overdrafts, and payday loans.  Timing issues when it comes to whether or not folks must resort to determined measures. 

One other situation was recognized by well being care researchers who studied the distribution of Social Safety checks amongst Medicare recipients.  They discovered that when Social Safety checks are distributed, prescription fills elevated by 6-12 % amongst recipients who pay small copayments; they discovered  no such sample amongst recipients who face no copayments.  Meaning people are ready for his or her Social Safety test to be deposited earlier than getting their drugs.  So, a delay in Social Safety might have antagonistic penalties for cash-strapped retirees.

Different researchers explored whether or not timing mattered when it comes to invoice paying for folks receiving meals support below the federal Supplemental Vitamin Help Program (SNAP).  SNAP provides 10 to 25 % of family incomes as much as 35 % above the federal poverty stage.  This research passed off in an unidentified New England state the place recipients’ SNAP debit playing cards are refilled on the primary day of each month.  When the cardboard is refilled, it frees up cash for different payments coming due on the identical time, corresponding to utilities.  After following the SNAP recipients for a full 12 months, the researchers discovered that the unpaid balances on their utility payments have been smaller if the payments got here in similtaneously the SNAP-card deposits.  

So, sure, for about 13 million folks the timing of their Social Safety test is essential.